AJ

AJ's AMZN Analysis

@alojoh
$239.30
$2.56T

Current Outlook

Short-Term
🟢bullish
Next 3-6 months
Long-Term
🟢bullish
1+ year horizon
Price Target
Pre-position for Q4 earnings
Specific target
Last updated: Nov 25, 2025

Latest Deep Dive

🎬

Amazon Deep Dive: Mag 6 Comparison

📅 Nov 25, 2025⏱️ 111 min📊 80 slides
Watch Full Video ↗
🤖AI SummarySaves you 111 min

AJ's stance: PRE-POSITION NOW for Q4 earnings in February. His track record on AMZN is strong — correctly called 'don't buy' in August 2025 when Ackman bought, then called the earnings pop 9 days in advance. AWS AI momentum is the key catalyst. Build position before February earnings for expected pop.

Key Takeaways
  • ACTION: Pre-position for Q4 earnings run (February)
  • Track record: Called Aug 2025 'don't buy' correctly ✅
  • Track record: Called earnings pop 9 days early ✅
  • Catalyst: AWS AI momentum driving cloud acceleration
  • Strategy: Build position now, expect pop on earnings
  • Timing: Q4 earnings in February is the catalyst
  • Risk/Reward: Less attractive for buy-and-hold, but earnings trade setup is strong

AJ's Ongoing Thesis

  • Pre-position for expected run into Q4 earnings
  • AWS AI momentum strong
  • Called August 2025 'don't buy' correctly
  • Called earnings pop 9 days in advance

Previous Deep Dives

All AMZN Posts

Complete post history from AJ

4 posts

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