AJ's AMZN Analysis
@alojoh ↗Current Outlook
Latest Deep Dive
Amazon Deep Dive: Mag 6 Comparison
AJ's stance: PRE-POSITION NOW for Q4 earnings in February. His track record on AMZN is strong — correctly called 'don't buy' in August 2025 when Ackman bought, then called the earnings pop 9 days in advance. AWS AI momentum is the key catalyst. Build position before February earnings for expected pop.
- ACTION: Pre-position for Q4 earnings run (February)
- Track record: Called Aug 2025 'don't buy' correctly ✅
- Track record: Called earnings pop 9 days early ✅
- Catalyst: AWS AI momentum driving cloud acceleration
- Strategy: Build position now, expect pop on earnings
- Timing: Q4 earnings in February is the catalyst
- Risk/Reward: Less attractive for buy-and-hold, but earnings trade setup is strong
AJ's Ongoing Thesis
- Pre-position for expected run into Q4 earnings
- AWS AI momentum strong
- Called August 2025 'don't buy' correctly
- Called earnings pop 9 days in advance
Previous Deep Dives
All AMZN Posts
Complete post history from AJ
“AWS Bedrock adoption exploding. Enterprise AI workloads moving to cloud faster than expected. Amazon is undervalued.”
“Pre-positioning for Q4 earnings. Retail margins improving, AWS reaccelerating, ads growing 20%+. Triple threat.”
“80-slide Amazon deep dive — Q/Q breakdown of ALL business segments, management guidance, SEC filings. The playbook for understanding AMZN.”
“111-minute Amazon analysis — MUST WATCH for Amazon or Mag 6 investors. 66 slides covering the entire investment case.”
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