AJ's META Analysis
@alojoh ↗Current Outlook
Latest Deep Dive
Meta Analysis: $600 to $740 Call
AJ's stance: HIGH CONVICTION — already called $600→$740 correctly. Meta is undervalued relative to cash flow. AI investments paying off (better ad targeting). Reality Labs losses manageable. Buybacks driving EPS growth. This was one of his highest conviction calls and it hit. Continue to hold winners.
- RESULT: Called $600 → $740 move correctly ✅
- Conviction: One of AJ's highest conviction calls
- Thesis: Undervalued relative to cash flow generation
- Catalyst: AI improving ad targeting and engagement
- Buybacks: Driving strong EPS growth even with modest revenue
- Reality Labs: Losses manageable given core strength
- Action: Hold — let winners run
AJ's Ongoing Thesis
- Top pick at $606 — called correctly
- Earnings growth (ex-restructuring) will be massive
- AI ambition poorly understood by market
- CapEx fears overblown
Previous Deep Dives
All META Posts
Complete post history from AJ
AJ“Opensourced META analysis — correctly predicted $600 → $740 move. The Q3 selloff was overblown fear, Q4 surge was inevitable.”
AJ“META is one of our top picks at $606. AI ambition poorly understood by market. CapEx fears are overblown.”
AJ“Instagram Reels monetization improving faster than expected. This is the growth story most are missing while focusing on VR.”
AJ“Llama 4 benchmarks leaked — absolutely crushing GPT-4. Meta's AI moat is real and the market doesn't get it yet.”
Want real-time updates from AJ on META?
Follow @alojoh on X ↗