AJ's ORCL Analysis
@alojoh ↗Current Outlook
Latest Deep Dive
Oracle Deep Dive: Leveraged AI Infrastructure Play
AJ's stance: BUY — this is a leveraged AI infrastructure play with 30% annual upside for 2 years. Stock dropped 40%+ creating attractive entry. Bears are wrong: earnings grew 10% (adjusted), cash burn is overstated (seasonality), credit profile improving. Massive CapEx is backed by contracted revenue. Consensus underestimates FY2027 — this is where the edge is.
- ACTION: Buy now — 30% upside potential per year for 2 years
- Entry: Stock down 40%+, now attractively priced
- Bear case debunked: Earnings actually grew 10% adjusted
- Bear case debunked: Cash burn overstated (seasonality issue)
- Bear case debunked: Credit profile actually improving
- Edge: Consensus underestimates FY2027 earnings
- Catalyst: Massive contracted revenue growth backing CapEx
AJ's Ongoing Thesis
- Lost 40%+ — now rare opportunity
- 30% upside in each of next 2 years
- Leveraged play on AI infrastructure
Previous Deep Dives
All ORCL Posts
Complete post history from AJ
AJ“Leaning in more heavily on Oracle — a leveraged AI infrastructure play at attractive valuations.”
AJ“Oracle Cloud Infrastructure growing 50%+ YoY. The transformation is real. Adding more on this dip.”
AJ“ORCL up 5% today. Referenced our deep dive report — the thesis is playing out.”
AJ“Oracle Deep Dive: 70 slides, 1,000-line financial model. Lost 40%+ — now a rare opportunity. 30% upside in each of next 2 years.”
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